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Bow-Tie Analysis

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Definition:
A risk evaluation method that visualizes the pathways from potential causes of a risk event to its consequences, highlighting preventive and mitigative controls.

Key Components:

  • Hazard Identification: Defines the risk event and its contributing factors.
  • Preventive Barriers: Controls that reduce the likelihood of the risk occurring.
  • Top Event: The central incident or failure point.
  • Mitigative Barriers: Controls that minimize consequences if the risk materializes.
  • Consequence Outcomes: Potential impacts of the risk event.

Use Cases/Industries:

  • Oil & Gas: Evaluating pipeline rupture risks and response strategies.
  • Power Generation: Assessing potential failures in nuclear or thermal plants.
  • Industrial Safety: Identifying process hazards and implementing controls.

Advantages:

  • Enhanced Risk Visualization: Provides a clear, structured risk overview.
  • Holistic Risk Management: Addresses both prevention and response strategies.
  • Improved Decision-Making: Helps prioritize risk mitigation investments.

Challenges:

  • Complexity in Large Projects: Requires thorough analysis and data collection.
  • Interdisciplinary Input: Needs collaboration across multiple technical teams.
  • Barrier Reliability: Preventive and mitigative controls must be rigorously maintained.

Related Terms:
Fault Tree Analysis (FTA), Hazard and Operability Study (HAZOP), Risk Management Framework

Example:
A refinery uses Bow-Tie Analysis to assess fire hazards, implementing preventive measures such as leak detection systems and mitigative actions like emergency response drills.

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Synonyms:
Risk Visualization, Cause-Effect Analysis, Risk Barrier Model
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